Monday, February 9, 2015

Arab Nationalism & MENA Political Intergration


The Arab awakening first originated during the 19th century as a revolutionary movement against the Ottoman Empire. During this period, Arab countries based their identity more on religion than on the common language. However, after WWI of Arab nationalism, became a significant ideology meant to guide Arab countries and reunite them due to their similarities: culture, language, and customs. Therefore, the Arab identity is meant to empower the newly independent countries from outside forces. Although this pertinent ideology was very popular between 1950-60, the popularity of Arab nationalism began to decline after the Six-Day War, leading this latter to slide towards political marginality.
There are, and unfortunately, many factors that work against the political integration of the MENA region. At that time there were various conflicting obstacles such as different loyalties and different interests. At present moment, there are even more obstacles and tensions between Arab countries that would prevent them from reaching political integration. For instance, a simple example, if Arab countries were to be integrated, Algeria and Morocco would need to agree on the issue of Western Sahara, which is impossible. This issue has been going on since 1963 and the diplomatic relations between the two countries are somehow shaken and witnessing many challenges. For example, the borders between the two countries are closed. If a simple bilateral relation is not possible, how can we be politically integrated?
Additionally, the idea of integrating Arab countries into one political union is not a new one. AMU, the Arab Maghreb Union, is a trade agreement between Algeria, Libya, Mauritania, Morocco, and Tunisia aiming for economic and political union. However, AMU is stagnant due to the persisting Algerian-Moroccan issue. If the previous efforts to reunite just the Maghreb have failed so far, I do not envision reuniting both Maghreb and Mashreq under one Arab identity especially when we take more complex problems into consideration such as the Israeli-Palestinian issues.
Finally, regarding the EU model. I believe the aftermath of the Euro-crisis illustrated the complexity of this model. Having such a union made the euro zone countries very dependent of one another and prone to domino effect. The crisis showed that integrating weak southern economies to strong northern economies such as France and Germany made ECB in a conflicting position when it comes to setting an efficient interest rate and acceptable debt ratio. In other words, I do not envision a political/economic union because from what we learned from the euro crisis. Assuming we solved all the current persisting political issues, different countries are at different phases of the economic cycle some are ongoing a recession, others are booming. Thus, each country needs specific set of micro and macro economic policies that are specific to its own need. Having a central bank like ECB imposing the same policies on each country would just not be effective.

3 comments:

  1. Samira, I appreciate your inclusion of the euro crisis in your analysis for the potential for a MENA version of the EU. However, do you think there are additional reasons that this type of partnership would not develop? I agree with you that it seems unlikely at this point, but would love to hear your thoughts on other potential barriers. For example, do racial, ethnic, cultural, linguistic, or religious divides play a role as well?

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  2. Hi Natalie, Yes for sure linguistic and ethnic differences do play a role for sure. History has showed that it could either (1) reunite the individuals/citizens under one identity, which is the case of Lebanon there are 18 different religious sects that derive mainly from Islam and Christianity. However, despite of all these differences they all consider themselves as Arabs. (2) and on the other hand, these differences could be an obstacle when it comes to encouraging a political integration. For instances, Algeria has an ethnic group called Berber (there are different types of Berber: Chaoui, Kabyle, etc etc) but Kabyle people do not consider themselves as Arabs and they have always rejected and "hated" the idea of being considered as one. They argue that in order to be called an Arab you have to at least speak Arabic but they don't even speak it and thus they are not Arab (the Berber dialect has nothing to do with Arabic).
    Anyways, briefly you could see how ethnicity could either reunite or divide Arab countries but I do not think it plays that much of a role. It's minor comparing to other issues (like for Berber people they would have to eventually go for a political integration if the state decides to do so).
    The main issue here is that political integration is the highest and last level of integration which requires a high dependence upon other governments or supranational institution (whichever is more powerful) even the EU didn't reach that point yet. I think we should be discussing economic integration or bilateral/multilateral exchanges first before reaching political integration. Besides the EU started with the ECSC which was signed by only five countries back then.

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  3. Samira, I think your post is very interesting mainly because it really looks at the issue of MENA integration from a purely economic standpoint and explains that its not realistic to expect in the area. While I believe there are numerous factors that block the formation of a Arab or MENA union, the economic situation varies so greatly across the region and it would take so much time and energy to attempt and unite systems.

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